Saturday, September 22, 2007

Week 4 Thoughts

It's Saturday morning and my picks have been finalized. I can't give lots of analysis this morning, but here are my selections.

First of all a non football selection,

Astros -110 over Cardinals. Every morning I wake up and go against the Cards. It's my daily ritual. They are horrible now with Miguel Cairo anchoring the heart of the lineup.

Now to the real deal...

POTW

Illinois -2 @ Indiana

The Illini are much more athletic and talented than they have been in the past. I just don't see Indiana making that progression from last season. The Zooker is building Illinois to look like the National Champions that he built in Florida before he had to hand over the reigns to Meyer. They spread the ball on offense with with a strong running game that was #1 in the Big Ten last year. The Juice squeezes all the potential out of those around him. I love Illinois here and since the line has lowered to -2 it gets even more attractive.

Other early quickies...

GT-4 atVirginia

I love to go against the public momentum on a team and I think that is the case here. Virginia has been pretty poor all year. Loss at Wyoming, Loss ATS at home vs Duke, barely beat NC on the road. GT got their butts whooped at home last week in prime time and they will have had a great week of practice and ready to lay it to the Cavaliers.

North Carolina at South Florida -13

The Tar Heels barely show up at home and are totally confused on the road. If you watched any of the Auburn game you were able to see how talented the Bulls are. They have speed on both sides of the ball and baring a look ahead to next week they should come ready to play.


Now for the afternoon delight...

Penn State @ Mich +3

Michigan was built to play against teams like PSU and the Makers are giving us points??? I know a true freshman is leading the offense but I think that Mike Hart can lead the offense and Michigan will find a way to win a close game (or at least lose by 3 or less).

Michigan State -10 @ Notre Dame

The public still loves to back the Damers, especially at home. This line has gradually dropped all week and now sits at a key number. The Makers are begging for you to take the points at home. Please don't be fooled. It doesn't matter who gives them a pep talk, they still have a Clausen at home and an O-line that has let up the most sacks in D-1. ESPN showed an amazing stat this morning. 47% of their offensive plays have gone for 0 or negative yards. Michigan State will harass them all day long.

So. Carolina @ LSU -17.5

They are just too good, especially in the Bayou at night.

Kentucky @ Arkansas -7

The Cats gave up 350 something yards on the ground vs Kent state and the same will happen today. The Cats can't be up as much as they were one week ago and the Hogs home faithfull will be rocking. The Heisman will be rolling all night long.

Best of Luck!

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